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arguments like never before and in the battleground state of ohio, president obama is definitely on the move. the latest nbc maris poll has the president up. he is pushing hard about the dishonest ad about jeep moving jobs to china. >> you've got folks who work at the jeep plant who have been calling their employers worried asking if their jobs were being shipped to china. you've heard about this. everybody heard about this? and the reason they're worried is because governor romney is running ads saying that jeep is shipping jobs to china. there's only one problem. it's not true. >> it's just not ohio where president obama is surging. in 22 new polls of battleground states, the president leads in 19 of them. the obama campaign is taking nothing for granted, however. and joe biden put the campaign into perspective. >> i want to remind you, this is the end of daylight savings time tonight. it's mitt romney's favorite time of the year because he gets to turn the clock back. he wants to turn that clock back so desperately. this time he can really do it tonight, it happens. >> in between all this
in florida, with senator marco rubio, paul ryan's bus tour is crisscrossing ohio. president obama visits new hampshire this afternoon. and vice president biden will attend a rally in lynchburg, virginia. let's get right to it. nbc's mike viqueira is joining us from the white house. good saturday morning to you. >> hi, alex. >> first before we get to this president's trip north. is tropical storm sandy affecting any of the white house plans? >> it certainly is. you've heard this phrase, we're familiar with it, an abundance of caution. that's what you're seeing from some of the campaigns today. vice president biden was set to appear in virginia beach right along the coastline with his wife dr. jill biden and son beau biden. that event has been canceled. meanwhile michelle obama, the first lady, was due in new hampshire on tuesday. out of again abundance of caution they have canceled, postponed that event. mitt romney was due in virginia beach where joe biden was supposed to be today. they postponed that event. they've altered their schedules. they're going to be appearing elsewhere. you mentio
, swing states and ohio, romney colorado. give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with field work, too, i think i
morning to you. look, it is no surprise that president obama is kicking off the weekend here in ohio. this is really the cornerstone of his midwest firewall. if mitt romney can't win ohio, it is nearly impossible for him to win the presidency. and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every eight ohioans has a connection to the auto industry. president obama also touting what he called an economy that is in recovery. he referenced friday's jobs report to do it. take a listen. >> in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars, and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs an
they need to double down. because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters
. this year, they're holding obama up is making him look pretty good in ohio is that he's got these working class white voters that he lacks in some other states. >> well, it is interesting, aaron, when i was talking to both the romney and obama campaign folks here in columbus yesterday, they said they're going to be watching not suburban columbus, but cuyahoga county and a lot of those working class voters, of course, also african-american voters, but they're looking at the margins in some of those places like barack obama talk about the importance of those votes. >> let me point out about cuyahoga county. president obama beat john mccain in 2008 in cuyahoga county by a larger number of votes and he won the entire state. so it's really important for cuyahoga county. but a very important place for him to run up those margins. we will see bill clinton campaign up in akron, ohio, even further north and east of cleveland. a high point in this state. >> what we talk a lot about is what we add journalists and the talking class talk about what regular americans, ohio and they're talking about. of
. as president obama points out, mitt romney's plan for the auto workers of ohio would have actually sent jobs to china. >> he's hoping you remember that it's likely to create jobs in china because is shifts them overseas instead of here in the united states of america. if mitt romney had been president when the auto industry was on the verge of collapse, we might not have an automobile industry today. we'd be buying cars from china instead of selling to them. >> mitt romney's path to the presidency is impossible without ohio's 18 electoral votes. right now winning ohio is not looking good for romney. six ohio polls were released this week. five of them have president obama leading. one is tied. president obama's average lead in ohio is 2.3 points. that's a big lead, seriously. now families in northern ohio have not forgotten what the rescue of the automobile industry did for their state. one in eight ohio jobs are about the automobile industry. this is why mitt romney is doing everything he possibly can to down play the impact of the auto rescue. his political director says the obama campaign
possible, but again, the key for president obama is going to be ohio. you have florida and virginia to romney. he's at 248, obama 243. colorado leaning toward romney. now give obama new hampshire where he is favored, wisconsin where he is favored. give him iowa, just 263. then we are looking on election night to that all-important state of ohio, obama at 281. if you gave that to romney, look at that, 275-263. that's why it is so key. what is the one state that could keep us up at night? let's look out west. we've been giving it to mitt romney colorado. watch what happens if we give romney florida, virginia, ohio. he's at 266. president obama, what does he need? new hampshire, wisconsin, iowa, all places he's favored and look at the one place that's keeping us up at night, western state, mountain time zone, late closing time, 266, 263, nine electoral votes there could swing it one way or the other. let's look at one last scenario where we could have ourselves a tie. president obama out west is favored in nevada. let's say we give it to mitt romney. it's only a three-point lead in our
. >> 88 hours in ohio. >> president obama on the ground in ohio vernlg the center of the political universe right now. >> right here in ohio. >> you know that i'll fight for you and your families. >> it is all about ohio. >> do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> and governor romney will be in aetna, ohio. >> this is about eric mac. >> the salesman versus the storm. >> we're going to win on tuesday night. >> all the battlegrounds look winnable for the president. >> we're really down to the last seven states. >> it is still all about the economy. >> we've made real progress. >> you've got this jobs report, the unemployment report. >> definitely a strong jobs report. >> stronger than expected. >> that's good. >> unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. >> he is about as hollow as the tin man. >> if we don't run candy crowley, romney will be the nominee and he'll lose. >>> we begin tonight with the latest on the recovery from the devastation of hurricane sandy. nbc news has now confirmed 94 deaths from the storm. more than half of those kil
about automobile rescue. that is former governor ted strickland of ohio. an obama 2012 campaign co-chair. and also with us tonight is congressman tim ryan of ohio. gentlemen, great to have you with us. governor, you first. i can only think that this is a complete disservice to the people of ohio to go out in front of a crowd and erroneously put out information that cuts right to the fabric of what this election is all about and that's jobs. what's your reaction? >> my reaction is that mitt romney is a desperate man. he knows he's losing ohio. if he loses ohio, he's losing the election. for him to do what he did is despicable. think of the angst that those workers felt when they heard him say that. obviously, it showed a lack of judgment and a lack of truthfulness. this man is not ready to be the president of the united states of america. he is -- as jon huntsman said during the primary season, he is like a well-oiled weather vane. you never know where mitt romney is going to be on any issue on any day. this is just the latest example of his desperation in trying to reach the ohio v
, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the republicomney campaign is s is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollst
seems pro-obama. pennsylvania will hold, ohio looks good but close, and all the battlegrounds look winnable for the president. the huge question is turnout, that and rational self-interest. the young who believe in science, women who believe in protecting their rights, latinos who can see a brighter future with a supportive president all need to get out, show up, and vote. there's no reward for a failure. in a free society, a democratic society is a failure, deeply personal, you blew it if you don't vote. let's see where it stands. i'm joined by mother jones washington bureau chief david corn and joy reid. do you think i'm a little strong? >> no. >> i don't want to talk to anybody after this election if they haven't bothered to vote. with four days to go, president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as change. >> do you want more
contributor. erin, give me a sense, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. but one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing and republicans told me earlier this week that last week their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. so they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. so you might say that it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data and that's why they're arguing these cases that they are. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? i mean, are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most cred
, why the headline reads ohio's working class offer the key to obama's re-election. well, they're specifically talking about working white class middle class voters. you can tweet us. lendars. it's the last day you can switch your medicare part d plan. we're ready, and we can't wait to switch. what i wanted was simple: the most value for my dollar. so, now that it's time, we're making the move to a plan that really works for us. [ male announcer ] make the switch to an aarp medicarerx plan, insured through unitedhealthcare. open enrollment starts october 15th and ends december 7th. call now for a free information kit. you'll receive a summary of plan benefits and an enrollment form. discover why these part d plans are so popular with over 4 million plan members and counting. with predictable copays and plans with no annual deductible, you could start saving with your first prescription. plus, we'll be covered at like 60,000 pharmacies. so if we visit our kids in portland or go anywhere in the country, we know we're covered. [ male announcer ] the new preferred pharmacy network
of why ohio's economy has bounced back is we did not let detroit go bankrupt. the obama administration bailed out the automobile industry. it's roared back to life and the big three are hiring again. yesterday mitt romney gave that obama administration success story a little mitt romney tickle. >> i saw a store today that one of the great manufacturers in this state is thinking of moving all production to china. >> wow. mr. romney saying, hey, don't get too comfy there, ohio, with the obama rescue of the automobile industry. it's been better. we saved everything here and that's why you have jobs, but don't get too comfy. i read they are moving all the jobs working for jeep. they are moving all the jeep jobs to china. he said that in ohio on the campaign trail 12 days before the election. and it is not true at all. the real jeep news that day was actually that chrysler announced they were adding 1100 new jobs in the u.s. here making jeeps in detroit. and chrysler says it could hire almost as many people at another plant in warren, michigan. chrysler is investing half a billion in its to
, president obama. right now in ohio. and he is in springfield, ohio, i think. and as i say he's all of our president, but he's your boss as a member of the cabinet. let's hear what he has to say. >> probable journey for more than two centuries and it's also guided us and carried us through the trials and tribulations of the last four years. in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today, our businesses have created 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned companies hired more workers in october than any time in the last eight months. the american auto industry is back on top. home values, housing starts are on the rise. we're less dependent on foreign oil than any time in the last 20 years. because of the service and sacrifice of our brave men and women in uniform the war in iraq is over, the war in afghanistan is ending, al qaeda has been decimated, osama bin laden is dead. [ applause ] >> we're on the move, ohio. we've made real progress these last four years. the reason all of you are here today, the reason i'm here toda
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than anywhe anyw
in defiance, ohio, mitt romney gave that obama administration success story a little mitt romney esque tickle. >> i saw a story today that one of the great manufacturers in this state, now owned by the italians, is thinking of moving all production to china. >> wow. mr. romney saying, hey, don't get too comfy there, ohio, with the obama rescue of the automotive industry. i know it's been better. he saved everything here and that's why you have jobs and everything, but don't get too comfy, ohio, i read that they're moving all the jobs working for jeep. they're moving all the jeep jobs to china. he said that in ohio on the campaign trail 12 days before the election. and it is not true at all. the real jeep news that day was actually that chrysler announced it was adding 1100 new jobs in the u.s. here. making jeeps in detroit. jeep grand cherokees. and chrysler says it could hire almost as many people at another plant in warren, michigan. in ohio crisler is investing half a billion dollars in its toledo plant and hiring 1100 workers. but mitt romney got up that said defiance, ohio, and said he r
were all over the crucial state of ohio. president obama made three different stops today in that state. then out west to springfield, ohio. then he headed north to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here is a look at another romney campaign rock concert and victory rally outside cincinnati. romney was also in wisconsin this morning, portraying himself as the candidate of change? >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same, or do you want real change? and we bring real change. >> do you want 32 more months of private sector job growth? romney sure has a funny way of showing change, doesn't he? take a look at romney's surrogates at tonight's ohio victory rally. former secretary of state condoleezza rice, former labor secretary elaine chao, bobby jindal, tom ridge and also ohio senator rob portman. all five of these folks worked with the bush administration. in fact, mitt romney's campaign is looking more and more like the bush white house every day. romney even pulled out the old dick cheney trick of scaring voters before an electio
, president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as change. >> do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> giving more power back to the biggest banks, that's not change. >> and we need real change. >> another $5 trillion tax cut that favors the wealthy, that's not change. >> president obama has tried to convince folks that these last four years have been a success. >> by the way, when you try to change the facts just because they're inconvenient to your campaign, that's definitely not change. >> he wants to take all the ideas from the first term, you know, the stimulus, the borrowing, obama care, all the rest, and then go back and do it all over again. >> you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know what i believe. >> we're four days away from a fresh start, four days away from the first day of a new be
for president obama. >> do you think we're talking too much about ohio? listen, you've got the romney campaign saying they're looking at pennsylvania, minnesota, that they perhaps have some traction there. and we know the new numbers in florida. we'll talk with marc about that throe show at least a difference in polls from the nbc marist poll and local polls show romney is up more than we're indicating. >> first of all, i think both sides genuinely think they're going to win or certainly think they have a great chance of winning. that said, pennsylvania has always been fool's gold for republicans. it looks tempting at the end. they might go for it. >> sounds good on paper. >> but they don't get it. now if the new nbc marist poll is correct about florida, florida can decide it before we even, you know, do the late-night counting of the absentee ballots out of cleveland. i mean because florida, if that goes for president obama, that's pretty much the story, i think. >> mr. caputo, let me bring new you've in on this. the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the m
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
. or your money back. >>> we are awaiting president obama's campaign appearance in ohio. we have been discussing what a romney administration would look like should he win. i need a little disclaimer for the church crowd that believes he can speak things into being. i am not trying to manifest a romney win. i think we better know what we are facing. here is a new ad that the obama campaign has put out just on the web. it hints at just how bad a romney white house could be for some of us. >> back in washington, the supreme court decided it would hear arguments in a case as a vehicle for reversing roe v. wade which they say is all but certain in the wake of president nominee joining the high court. the ad goes on for about three minutes. it is kind of this fake news report of what 100 days into a romney presidency looks like. it includes the massive deficit but also the possible overturn of roe v. wade, the end of epa, all of these other kind of social issues, the social security voucher system. realistically, presidents don't have complete control over the economy despite the fact that
. meanwhile, president obama is in a holding pattern, kangs ling events in ohio and florida to return to washington and monitor the storm. the white house canceled the president's trip to wisconsin scheduled for tomorrow. but while voters won't see him on the trail they will see him in the role of commander in chief including later this hour when he delivers a statement on the hurricane from the white house. and perhaps voters will be wondering how a president romney might handle the very same situation. one indication comes from a primary debate in june of last year, when governor romney made the case for shutting down fema and passing the responsibility on to the states. >> fema is about to run out of money and some people say do it on a case-by-case basis and some who say maybe we're learning a lesson here the states should take on more of this role. >> absolutely. every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that's the right direction. and if you can go even further and send it back to the private sector that's even
suspended. but the lies continue in ohio. >> obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps in china. >> former governor ted strickland on mitt romney's last desperate gasp to fool the buckeye state. those surprising little things she does still make you take notice. there are a million reasons why. but your erectile dysfunction that could be a question of blood flow. cialis for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat ed and symptoms of bph, like needing to go frequently or urgently. tell your doctor about all your medical conditions and medications, and ask if your heart is healthy enough for sexual activity. do not take cialis if you take nitrates for chest pain, as this may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. do not drink alcohol in excess with cialis. side effects may include headache, upset stomach, delayed backache or muscle ache. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for
states. ohio and florida. the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt romney can't win in ohio what would his path to 270, what would his path to victory have to look like. >> makes it very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got
president obama looking to close the deal in the crucial battle ground state of ohio. this is from mentor, ohio where the president is just about to speak. we're watching that very closely. before heading to today's event, though, the president visited fema headquarters to get a response to the efforts of aftermath of hurricane sandy. he is sending -- >> we don't have any patience for bureaucracy. we don't have any patience for red tape. and we want to make sure that we are figuring out a way to get to yes as opposed to no when it comes to these problems. >> meanwhile, mitt romney also has his sights on several key swing states today, starting with new hampshire. >> you saw the differences between barack obama and me in those debates. i like those debates. i got to be honest. i mean, he says it has to be this way. i say it can't stay this way. he's offering excuses. i'm offering a plan. i can't wait to get started. >> mitt romney will also visit iowa and colorado today, running mate paul ryan already wrapped up an event today in ohio. he now heads to pennsylvania, virginia and florida. we
and forth between ohio and wisconsin, which are the two most important states. if president obama can hold on to nevada, wisconsin and ohio, he still wins with 271 electoral votes. so with mitt romney out on the trail, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it was really interesting, joe scarborough and his observations this morning he made on "morning joe." take a listen. >> this was mitt romney's best weekend, and it stops. the momentum stops. you don't know how it freezes, but it's a new dynamic into the race and changes everything with with a week to go. >> let's talk about this. not only could this stall romney's momentum, but it also brings up something that mitt romney was forceful about during the primary debates. he sad voe indicated shutting down team na and letting states handle disaster relief. watching what's taking place with sandy, know we have 12 different states that declared states of emergency and also the distri
, everybody. i'm tom here at msnbc headquarters and we're watching president obama there in hilliard, ohio, greeting fans at a campaign there giving a stump speech and bringing up specifically parts of the jobs numbers. that is the big news we saw today. unemployment kicked up ever so slightly to 7.9%. but there was a big boost in hiring with the official number at 171,000 jobs added over the course of the month. that's much higher than expected. the analysts had predicted something lower, around 120ish. we want to bring in our morning power panel. jared bernstein, ron ensanna, cnbc contributor and author of "ohio to make a fortune from the bill biggest bailout in history" and dana se abank. >> jared, i want to start with you. we've got the numbers took front. we've got more jobs added last month than expected. but the unemployment rate picked up from september. why? >> more people entered the labor force, about 580,000 people. now, these monthly numbers jump around. and about 400,000 or so, according the to that part of the survey. the labor force stayed the same, but people in the labor
research poll of likely ohio voters shows president obama running at 50% and mitt romney trailing at 46%. early voting has been under way in ohio for 25 days. today, president obama campaigned on local ohio television via satellite from washington. >> i'm very confident and the reason is first of all we've got incredible volunteers and folks who are out there making phone calls and knocking on doors and as you know early voting has started in ohio and we've seen a huge up surge in people taking advantage of that. so we've got a pretty good sense of who's actually voting in ohio. >> joining me now are joy reid and ohio state senator nina turner. senator turner you've had get out the vote rallies repeatedly. what have you been doing today and in the last 11 days to get out the vote? >> we're firing up the president's base and making sure that people understand that this is a choice election and in that no one can sit this out and we have to make sure that in the state of ohio that we continue to rally the base, get folks excited and they are very excited, lawrence. contrarry to what motio
, but the trajectory, the momentum, now seems pro-obama. pennsylvania will hold, ohio looks good but close, and all the battlegrounds look winnable for the president. the huge question is turnout, that and rational self-interest. the young who believe in science, women who believe in protecting their rights, latinos who can see a brighter future with a supportive president all need to get out, show up, and vote. there's no reward for a failure. in a free society, a democratic society is a failure, deeply personal, you blew it if you don't vote. let's see where it stands. i'm joined by mother jones washington bureau chief david corn and joy reid. do you think i'm a little strong? >> no. >> i don't want to talk to anybody after this election if they haven't bothered to vote. with four days to go, president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as chang
obama maintaining a lead in swing states including florida, virginia and in ohio obama leads romney 50 to 45% among likely voters. he also has a huge advantage when it comes to early voters. among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, 60% of ohioans favor the president while only 34% voted for romney. meanwhile, team romney is pumping cash into states not expected to be competitive at this stage. the governor's campaign says it is seeing a resurgence in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota. the obama campaign is pouring cold water on that very theory saying it shows signs of a struggling romney campaign. quote, romney campaign desperate. putting up ads in pennsylvania and minnesota, prove he's struggling to find a new path to 270. that prompted the romney campaign to respond with a tweet of its own, spokesman ryan williams, quote, nervous. obama campaign says minnesota and pennsylvania aren't battlegrounds but running more than 1.1 million in ads there. the baaing and forth on twitter, ben. who to believe. i'll say this. minnesota is a blue state that bill clinton di
been so important to obama running so well in ohio. it's a choice -- either government should just sit by and let the market do its thing or government can come in and correct certain outcomes and prevent catastrophe. that's the kind of choice we face in this election. >> if you want to talk about trust. what obama is talking about on the trail, first of all, there's no second-term agenda. when he goes off the record with the "des moines register" last week. he gave out a second-term agenda which is nothing like he's been talking about on the trail. >> that's not true at all. >> the corporate tax rates. talking about weeding out immigration. talking about immigration reform, which he has not talked about much in public and a grand bargain with cutting spending $2.50 for every $1 of tax revenue. >> did you see his proposal he's put on the table? >> you want to talk about being factually accurate. it's factually inaccurate it say that governor romney was against the rescue of the auto industry. if you read his entire op-ed. you guys are journalists, i assume you believe that words are im
from the carolinas to ohio, 8 million without power. president obama held a conference call with governors and mayors in affected area after declaring several states federal disaster areas. the president canceled all campaign events for the third day. within the past few minutes we got word that the president's travel pool was told to gather at white house, which means the president is going to do something. however, we do not know what that is yet. according to our nbc news team at the white house. and governor romney also canceled rallying today, but he did attend an event in ohio. his campaign describes it as a storm relief event. >> i've had the chance to speak with some of the governors in the affected areas, and they've talked about a lot of people having hard times. i appreciate the fact that people aat dayton got up this morning and went to the grocery store and purchased things these families will need. i appreciate your generosity. >> while calling president obama's response to the storm outstanding, governor chris christie had this to say about sandy's effect on t
, to the midwest and that's why you'll see president obama campaigning in ohio, wisconsin, iowa a lot these last five days. >> amy, let me bring you in. i know to mark's point, i believe it was one of the romney advisers or a supporter who said i think the word was "crap" when it comes to polls, at least the ones they didn't like to see. nevertheless, you can disagree with the percentage point here or there, but we've not seen a poll where governor romney is leading in a battleground state. >> no, we haven't. but he feels really good about florida. his team does. i don't think it's a double-digit lead, but they're feeling good about florida. they're feeling good about wisconsin. they think the apparatus in place from the efforts on behalf of scott walker are going to galvanize republicans and make sure that a ground game turns out the vote. the same for mitt romney and paul ryan. they are feeling good about a lot of states where they've closed with the president, if they haven't surpassed him. what they're always hoping, too, tamron is that this is 1980 and that there's going to be a last-minute
to put up that final campaign calendar, if we can, and have you take a look. obama's in ohio four times in five days he's in wisconsin three times, colorado twice, romney's in virginia, wisconsin, ohio, colorado and new hampshire. what can you read, if anything, into these schedules? who's worried about which states? or who's, you know, ignoring other states? what do you make of it? >> well, you know, i did notice that president obama is only going down to florida one time, i believe. >> right. >> so, you know, that's striking. you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is interesting. and i think it speaks to the idea that although romney is definitely
, 137-39. this continues throughout the states. you see ohio, florida, colorado. obama's lead is massive. obama built the largest grassroots organization that politics saw in '08 and after he won he continued to build it. this can make a difference of two points and in a close race like this it can make all the difference in '08. it gave obama some already. that's not the situation in this case. people that have been to the ground offices say the obama offices are all about obamament the romney offices are rnc offices and not always all about romney. that leads a conservative like joe scarborough to worry about what's happening that the obama offices are building this unparalleled turnout machine and the great irony that scarborough writes for the romney camp is their candidate drirch by data and numbers his entire life is relying on the most unpredi unpredictable force of all, human emotion, to pull him over the top. i don't understand why romney and the gop have allowed this to happen? >> if it were just about having offices, obama would be in a clear lead in states like florida he's n
focused on today. >> nate silver predicts as of tonight, by the way, that president obama will win ohio and his chance of winning the presidency still very high. but the -- karen, i spoke to a former fema official earlier in the program and just asked him in budget terms what about a 40% cut in the fema budget, which would be the ryan plan, or what about some variation on that? call it 20%, call it 10%. what would it do in a situation like this? obviously he said it would be absolutely disastrous to their ability to respond to disasters. >> well, of course, it would be. i mean, look at what's happened. just suppose the last five or six years we've had these kinds of massive disasters where fema has been needed to come in. the federal government has been needed to come in almost once every year. so when we have these conversations and these political fights, and that's really, frankly, what i think is a little shameful about the event romney did today. it's fine to say, people, it's in our human nature, we want to get out there and kind of help. i wish he would have directed people to th
. in wisconsin president obama up by seven points. in new hampshire the president leading in six points. in ohio president obama leading in three points. in virginia president obama leading by one point. in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost
the latest polls show that the race in battle ground states like ohio have president obama leading mitt romney by five points when counting both early voters and ohioans who will actually vote on election day. but the overall race is a dead heat among ohioans who are going to cast their ballot on november 6. so how does president obama or mitt romney break the stalemate among the voters? they can basically either woo the undecideds or fire up the base. for president obama, it has become increasingly clear that the strategy is about one word, early. >> we can vote early in illinois, we can vote early in illinois. just like you can vote right now in florida. p just like you can vote early in colorado. just like you can vote early here in nevada. you can vote early. anybody who is here who has not yet voted, i want you to go vote. vote. vote. vote. vote. >> so did you get the message obama supporters some vote, vote, vote, early, early, early. it is a message directed specifically at the base. and to drive the point home about early voting, president obama went home to cast his vote this p
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